Did Kalshi correctly price Toronto vs Chicago Fire?

At settlement, Kalshi had Tie priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.

What was the final book consensus for Toronto vs Chicago Fire?

Tie: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Toronto: 2.3% median de-vigged across 11 books · Chicago Fire: 79.0% median de-vigged across 11 books

For current MLS matchups, see the live MLS hub at /sports/mls, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mls/2026.

mlsgameSettledSeptember 6, 2026

Kalshi closed with Tie at 99.0% versus Toronto at 1.0%. Final book consensus: Tie — / Toronto 2.3% / Chicago Fire 79.0%.

Side	Kalshi closing	Books median	Books count	Edge (books − Kalshi)
Tie	99.0%	—	0	—
Toronto	1.0%	2.3%	11	+1.3%
Chicago Fire	1.0%	79.0%	11	+78.0%

Did Kalshi correctly price Toronto vs Chicago Fire?: At settlement, Kalshi had Tie priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
What was the final book consensus for Toronto vs Chicago Fire?: Tie: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Toronto: 2.3% median de-vigged across 11 books · Chicago Fire: 79.0% median de-vigged across 11 books
Where can I find live Toronto odds?: For current MLS matchups, see the live MLS hub at /sports/mls, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mls/2026.

This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.