Did Kalshi correctly price Portland vs Saint Louis?

At settlement, Kalshi had Tie priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.

What was the final book consensus for Portland vs Saint Louis?

Tie: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Saint Louis: 73.5% median de-vigged across 11 books · Portland: 4.9% median de-vigged across 11 books

For current MLS matchups, see the live MLS hub at /sports/mls, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mls/2026.

mlsgameSettledSeptember 10, 2026

Kalshi closed with Tie at 99.0% versus Saint Louis at 1.0%. Final book consensus: Tie — / Saint Louis 73.5% / Portland 4.9%.

Side	Kalshi closing	Books median	Books count	Edge (books − Kalshi)
Tie	99.0%	—	0	—
Saint Louis	1.0%	73.5%	11	+72.5%
Portland	1.0%	4.9%	11	+3.9%

Did Kalshi correctly price Portland vs Saint Louis?: At settlement, Kalshi had Tie priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
What was the final book consensus for Portland vs Saint Louis?: Tie: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Saint Louis: 73.5% median de-vigged across 11 books · Portland: 4.9% median de-vigged across 11 books
Where can I find live Portland odds?: For current MLS matchups, see the live MLS hub at /sports/mls, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mls/2026.

This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.