Did Kalshi correctly price Chicago Fire vs Miami?

At settlement, Kalshi had Tie priced at 96.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.

What was the final book consensus for Chicago Fire vs Miami?

Tie: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Chicago Fire: 17.3% median de-vigged across 11 books · Miami: 19.1% median de-vigged across 11 books

For current MLS matchups, see the live MLS hub at /sports/mls, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mls/2026.

mlsgameSettledSeptember 10, 2026

Kalshi closed with Tie at 96.0% versus Chicago Fire at 2.5%. Final book consensus: Tie — / Chicago Fire 17.3% / Miami 19.1%.

Side	Kalshi closing	Books median	Books count	Edge (books − Kalshi)
Tie	96.0%	—	0	—
Chicago Fire	2.5%	17.3%	11	+14.8%
Miami	1.5%	19.1%	11	+17.6%

Did Kalshi correctly price Chicago Fire vs Miami?: At settlement, Kalshi had Tie priced at 96.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
What was the final book consensus for Chicago Fire vs Miami?: Tie: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Chicago Fire: 17.3% median de-vigged across 11 books · Miami: 19.1% median de-vigged across 11 books
Where can I find live Chicago Fire odds?: For current MLS matchups, see the live MLS hub at /sports/mls, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mls/2026.

This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.