BMW Championship 2026 odds — Kalshi vs Polymarket vs sportsbooks

Outrights & Lines256 Matchups0 Props Ladder

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Players

Total markets

256

Kalshi quotes

100

Book quotes

1800

DG model

250

Books tracked

TournamentWin54K50 Top 550 Top 1050 Top 2050

Round leaderR1 Leader52K50

★ Top buy opportunitiesKalshi cheaper than fair — buy YES

Alex Noren

BUY

+0.44%

edge vs reference (12 books)

Kalshi

0.8%

Books med

1.2%

DG model

0.9%

Cheapest book: DraftKings +8600

Russell Henley

BUY

+0.42%

edge vs reference (12 books)

Kalshi

1.3%

Books med

1.7%

DG model

1.3%

Cheapest book: Caesars +5000

Robert MacIntyre

BUY

+0.40%

edge vs reference (12 books)

Kalshi

1.1%

Books med

1.5%

DG model

1.0%

Cheapest book: DraftKings +5900

Tom Kim

BUY

+0.36%

edge vs reference (12 books)

Kalshi

1.5%

Books med

1.9%

DG model

1.6%

Cheapest book: Caesars +4500

Aaron Rai

BUY

+0.27%

edge vs reference (12 books)

Kalshi

0.5%

Books med

0.8%

DG model

0.4%

Cheapest book: DraftKings +11000

▼ Most overpriced on KalshiSell YES on Kalshi, or bet at the books instead

Scottie Scheffler

SELL

-3.81%

edge vs reference (12 books)

Kalshi

22.5%

Books med

18.7%

DG model

17.5%

Best alt: DraftKings +315

Xander Schauffele

SELL

-1.62%

edge vs reference (12 books)

Kalshi

5.3%

Books med

3.7%

DG model

4.8%

Best alt: FanDuel +2000

Cameron Young

SELL

-1.22%

edge vs reference (12 books)

Kalshi

4.5%

Books med

3.3%

DG model

4.0%

Best alt: FanDuel +2200

Win · 54 players · Edge vs Books medianFree tier — showing 5 of 6 books. Upgrade for allClick any column header to sort.

Player	Kalshi	DG	Poly	Books med	Buy edge	vs DG	vs Poly	vs best book	#	BetMGM	Caesars	DraftKings	FanDuel
Alex Noren●K	0.8%	0.9%	—	1.2%	+0.44%	+0.09%	—	+0.04% DraftKings +8600	12	1.2%	1.2%	0.8%	1.2%
Russell Henley●K	1.3%	1.3%	17.0%	1.7%	+0.42%	+0.03%	+15.70%	+0.11% Caesars +5000	12	1.7%	1.4%	1.5%	1.6%
Robert MacIntyre●K	1.1%	1.0%	16.6%	1.5%	+0.40%	-0.03%	+15.50%	+0.17% DraftKings +5900	12	1.2%	1.6%	1.2%	1.6%
Tom Kim●K	1.5%	1.6%	3.0%	1.9%	+0.36%	+0.08%	+1.50%	+0.06% Caesars +4500	12	1.9%	1.6%	1.9%	1.8%
Aaron Rai●K	0.5%	0.4%	16.1%	0.8%	+0.27%	-0.15%	+15.55%	+0.11% DraftKings +11000	12	0.7%	0.9%	0.7%	0.8%
Adam Scott●K	1.1%	0.9%	17.0%	1.3%	+0.26%	-0.15%	+15.95%	+0.08% DraftKings +6400	12	1.1%	1.2%	1.1%	1.2%
Rickie Fowler●K	1.0%	0.9%	17.0%	1.3%	+0.26%	-0.15%	+16.00%	+0.06% DraftKings +6800	12	1.1%	1.2%	1.1%	1.1%
Jacob Bridgeman●K	0.8%	0.8%	16.4%	1.0%	+0.26%	+0.05%	+15.65%	+0.11% BetMGM +8000	12	0.9%	1.0%	0.9%	1.1%
Gary Woodland●K	0.8%	0.5%	16.5%	0.9%	+0.14%	-0.29%	+15.75%	-0.12% DraftKings +11500	12	0.9%	0.9%	0.6%	0.8%
Ryo Hisatsune●K	0.4%	0.5%	1.6%	0.5%	+0.09%	+0.05%	+1.10%	-0.02% PointsBet +17500	12	0.5%	0.5%	0.5%	0.5%
Eric Cole●K	0.4%	0.5%	16.1%	0.5%	+0.09%	+0.06%	+15.60%	-0.02% PointsBet +17500	12	0.5%	0.5%	0.5%	0.5%
J.T. Poston●K	0.5%	0.4%	—	0.6%	+0.06%	-0.11%	—	-0.05% DraftKings +14500	12	0.7%	0.6%	0.5%	0.6%
Alex Smalley●K	0.9%	0.9%	16.5%	1.0%	+0.05%	-0.02%	+15.55%	-0.20% FanDuel +10000	12	0.9%	0.9%	0.9%	0.8%
Maverick McNealy●K	1.6%	1.8%	17.1%	1.6%	+0.04%	+0.28%	+15.50%	-0.14% Caesars +5000	12	1.5%	1.4%	1.6%	1.6%
Akshay Bhatia●K	0.7%	0.5%	1.9%	0.7%	+0.03%	-0.18%	+1.30%	-0.05% PointsBet +12500	12	0.7%	0.8%	0.6%	0.8%
Bud Cauley●K	0.8%	0.9%	16.5%	0.8%	+0.02%	+0.15%	+15.70%	-0.05% FanDuel +10000	12	1.0%	0.8%	0.8%	0.8%
Kristoffer Reitan●K	0.9%	0.9%	16.1%	0.9%	+0.01%	+0.06%	+15.20%	-0.09% BetMGM +9000	12	0.8%	0.9%	0.8%	0.9%
Ryan Gerard●K	1.4%	1.7%	17.0%	1.4%	+0.00%	+0.27%	+15.60%	-0.10% FanDuel +5500	12	1.4%	1.4%	1.6%	1.4%
Kurt Kitayama●K	1.5%	1.6%	2.5%	1.5%	-0.01%	+0.06%	+1.00%	-0.12% Caesars +5000	12	1.5%	1.4%	1.4%	1.5%
Jake Knapp●K	1.8%	1.5%	3.0%	1.8%	-0.03%	-0.35%	+1.15%	-0.31% BetMGM +4000	12	1.7%	2.0%	1.8%	1.8%
Ben Griffin●K	1.3%	1.5%	16.1%	1.2%	-0.03%	+0.20%	+14.80%	-0.27% BetMGM +7000	12	1.0%	1.2%	1.1%	1.2%
Justin Rose●K	1.1%	0.9%	16.6%	1.0%	-0.05%	-0.15%	+15.50%	-0.15% DraftKings +7600	12	1.0%	1.2%	0.9%	1.1%
Sepp Straka●K	0.4%	0.4%	16.1%	0.3%	-0.06%	-0.04%	+15.65%	-0.18% DraftKings +33000	12	0.5%	0.4%	0.2%	0.3%
Michael Brennan●K	1.4%	1.1%	2.5%	1.3%	-0.06%	-0.33%	+1.10%	-0.16% BetMGM +5500	12	1.2%	1.4%	1.3%	1.4%
Ryan Fox●K	0.7%	0.5%	16.1%	0.6%	-0.06%	-0.13%	+15.40%	-0.15% PointsBet +15000	12	0.5%	0.6%	0.6%	0.6%
Sungjae Im●K	1.3%	1.0%	—	1.2%	-0.06%	-0.29%	—	-0.12% PointsBet +6600	12	1.5%	1.2%	1.2%	1.1%
Sahith Theegala●K	0.4%	0.3%	16.1%	0.4%	-0.09%	-0.12%	+15.60%	-0.20% PointsBet +30000	12	0.4%	0.4%	0.4%	0.4%
Michael Thorbjornsen●K	1.5%	1.6%	17.0%	1.4%	-0.11%	+0.09%	+15.50%	-0.26% BetMGM +5500	12	1.2%	1.4%	1.3%	1.5%
Patrick Cantlay●K	2.5%	2.4%	2.9%	2.4%	-0.14%	-0.20%	+0.40%	-0.43% Caesars +3000	12	2.4%	2.3%	2.5%	2.4%
Justin Thomas●K	2.1%	2.2%	17.0%	2.0%	-0.14%	+0.08%	+14.90%	-0.33% FanDuel +4000	12	1.9%	2.0%	2.2%	1.8%
Hideki Matsuyama●K	3.0%	2.5%	17.9%	2.9%	-0.15%	-0.50%	+14.85%	-0.59% FanDuel +2700	12	3.0%	2.9%	2.9%	2.7%
Alex Fitzpatrick●K	0.9%	0.9%	16.5%	0.7%	-0.16%	-0.03%	+15.60%	-0.27% BetMGM +11000	12	0.6%	0.9%	0.8%	0.8%
J.J. Spaun●K	1.5%	1.3%	—	1.3%	-0.19%	-0.22%	—	-0.36% BetMGM +6000	12	1.1%	1.2%	1.5%	1.2%
Si Woo Kim●K	2.9%	3.2%	3.5%	2.8%	-0.20%	+0.27%	+0.55%	-0.54% Other +2529	12	3.0%	2.9%	2.8%	2.7%
Collin Morikawa●K	2.3%	2.3%	17.5%	2.0%	-0.21%	+0.05%	+15.30%	-0.41% FanDuel +4000	12	2.1%	2.0%	2.5%	1.8%
Viktor Hovland●K	2.9%	2.7%	3.0%	2.6%	-0.25%	-0.18%	+0.20%	-0.45% BetMGM +2800	12	2.4%	2.6%	3.1%	2.7%
Matt Fitzpatrick●K	3.5%	3.7%	3.5%	3.3%	-0.25%	+0.23%	+0.00%	-0.57% BetMGM +2200	12	3.0%	3.1%	3.4%	3.3%
Min Woo Lee●K	1.7%	1.9%	16.9%	1.4%	-0.29%	+0.25%	+15.25%	-0.49% BetMGM +5500	12	1.2%	1.4%	1.4%	1.6%
Sam Burns●K	4.5%	3.7%	3.3%	4.0%	-0.47%	-0.77%	-1.20%	-0.90% Caesars +1800	12	4.6%	3.8%	4.2%	4.0%
Wyndham Clark●K	2.9%	1.9%	17.5%	2.4%	-0.53%	-0.96%	+14.60%	-0.74% DraftKings +3300	12	2.4%	2.8%	2.2%	2.4%
Rory McIlroy●K	4.9%	4.6%	3.5%	4.3%	-0.57%	-0.30%	-1.45%	-0.94% BetMGM +1600	12	4.1%	4.5%	4.6%	4.5%
Tommy Fleetwood●K	4.4%	3.9%	3.0%	3.8%	-0.59%	-0.47%	-1.35%	-0.80% FanDuel +2000	12	3.7%	3.8%	4.0%	3.6%
Chris Gotterup●K	3.3%	3.1%	17.5%	2.4%	-0.87%	-0.18%	+14.20%	-1.22% Other +2843	12	2.4%	2.6%	3.3%	2.7%
Cameron Young●K	4.5%	4.0%	3.5%	3.3%	-1.22%	-0.52%	-1.05%	-1.56% FanDuel +2200	12	3.3%	3.8%	3.4%	3.3%
Xander Schauffele●K	5.3%	4.8%	3.2%	3.7%	-1.62%	-0.51%	-2.10%	-1.84% FanDuel +2000	12	3.7%	3.8%	4.1%	3.6%
Scottie Scheffler●K	22.5%	17.5%	22.5%	18.7%	-3.81%	-4.99%	+0.00%	-5.77% DraftKings +315	12	19.9%	18.9%	17.7%	19.4%
Nicolai Hojgaard	—	1.1%	—	1.0%	—	—	—	— FanDuel +8000	12	1.0%	0.9%	1.0%	0.9%
Nicolai Højgaard●K	1.1%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0	—	—	—	—
Nico Echavarria	—	0.4%	—	0.5%	—	—	—	— PointsBet +17500	12	0.7%	0.5%	0.5%	0.5%
Matthew McCarty●K	0.3%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0	—	—	—	—
Matt McCarty	—	0.2%	—	0.2%	—	—	—	— DraftKings +33000	12	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%	0.3%
Nicolas Echavarria●K	0.4%	—	16.1%	—	—	—	+15.65%	—	0	—	—	—	—
Ludvig Aberg	—	5.0%	—	3.7%	—	—	—	— FanDuel +2000	12	3.7%	3.8%	3.9%	3.6%
Ludvig Åberg●K	5.0%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0	—	—	—	—

Trade on Kalshi →Trade on Polymarket →Sponsored · code SPORTSBOOKISH on Polymarket (iOS)

Kalshi = implied prob from bid/ask mid (or last trade if spread wide). DG = DataGolf model baseline. Books = de-vigged implied prob per book.

Buy edge = reference − Kalshi. Positive (green) = Kalshi cheaper than reference → good buy. Negative (red) = Kalshi overpriced → sell or bet at the books. “Edge vs best” compares Kalshi to the book offering the longest American odds.

BMW Championship odds — FAQ

What Kalshi markets are available for the BMW Championship?

Kalshi is currently pricing 100 markets across 54 players for the BMW Championship, including outright winner, top 5, top 10, top 20, make cut, first-round leader, and head-to-head matchups. SportsBookISH compares each Kalshi price against 12 sportsbooks plus the DataGolf model baseline.

Where's the best buy opportunity at the BMW Championship right now?

Alex Noren currently shows the largest positive edge — Kalshi is priced 0.4 percentage points cheaper than the sportsbook consensus. Edges shift continuously during live tournaments; this snapshot reflects the last cron tick within the past 30 minutes.

How often do BMW Championship odds update on SportsBookISH?

Kalshi quotes refresh every 5 minutes. DataGolf model + sportsbook lines refresh every 10 minutes. References older than 30 minutes are filtered out automatically. Elite subscribers can force-refresh any tournament on demand.

What does "edge vs books median" mean for BMW Championship?

It's the difference between the sportsbook consensus implied probability (median of de-vigged book prices) and Kalshi's implied probability. Positive edge = Kalshi is priced cheaper than the books expect, suggesting a good BUY on Kalshi. Negative edge = Kalshi is more expensive, suggesting a SELL on Kalshi or a BET at the books.

How does Kalshi compare to sportsbooks for golf?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated event-contract exchange — you buy YES/NO contracts that settle at $1 or $0. Sportsbooks build a vig into outrights typically 15-25% on golf futures, vs Kalshi's max 7¢ trading fee. When Kalshi is priced cheaper than the no-vig book consensus, that's a +EV opportunity (after fee adjustment).