MVP Winner — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander at 99.0% versus Jaylen Brown at 1.0%. Final book consensus: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander — / Jaylen Brown — / Nikola Jokic — / Luka Doncic — / Victor Wembanyama — / Josh Hart — / Cam Johnson — / Deandre Ayton — / Ja Morant — / Ausar Thompson — / Anthony Davis — / Paul George — / Derrick White — / John Collins — / Giannis Antetokounmpo — / Donovan Mitchell — / Kevin Durant — / Isaiah Hartenstein — / Julius Randle — / Desmond Bane — / Alex Caruso — / Domantas Sabonis — / Tyler Herro — / Jalen Green — / LeBron James — / Jalen Williams — / Pascal Siakam — / Trae Young — / Coby White — / Joel Embiid — / Karl-Anthony Towns — / LaMelo Ball — / Tie/Co-Winners — / Franz Wagner — / CJ McCollum — / Zach LaVine — / Jimmy Butler — / Jaden Ivey — / Scottie Barnes — / Jalen Johnson — / Amen Thompson — / Stephen Curry — / Jalen Brunson — / Anthony Edwards — / Ivica Zubac — / Paolo Banchero — / Anfernee Simons — / Chet Holmgren — / Bam Adebayo — / Tyrese Maxey — / Zion Williamson — / De'Andre Hunter — / Ryan Rollins — / Andrew Nembhard — / Cooper Flagg — / De'Aaron Fox — / Klay Thompson — / Kawhi Leonard — / Darius Garland — / Cade Cunningham — / Fred VanVleet — / Bennedict Mathurin — / Jarrett Allen — / Jamal Murray — / Jaren Jackson Jr. — / Evan Mobley — / Austin Reaves — / DeMar DeRozan — / Devin Booker — / Draymond Green — / Alperen Sengun — / James Harden —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jaylen Brown | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nikola Jokic | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luka Doncic | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Victor Wembanyama | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Josh Hart | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cam Johnson | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Deandre Ayton | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ja Morant | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ausar Thompson | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Anthony Davis | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Paul George | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Derrick White | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| John Collins | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Donovan Mitchell | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kevin Durant | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Julius Randle | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Desmond Bane | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Alex Caruso | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Domantas Sabonis | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tyler Herro | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jalen Green | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| LeBron James | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jalen Williams | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Pascal Siakam | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Trae Young | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Coby White | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Joel Embiid | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| LaMelo Ball | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tie/Co-Winners | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Franz Wagner | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| CJ McCollum | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Zach LaVine | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jimmy Butler | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jaden Ivey | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Scottie Barnes | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jalen Johnson | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Amen Thompson | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Stephen Curry | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jalen Brunson | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Anthony Edwards | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ivica Zubac | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Paolo Banchero | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Anfernee Simons | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Chet Holmgren | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bam Adebayo | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tyrese Maxey | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Zion Williamson | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| De'Andre Hunter | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ryan Rollins | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Andrew Nembhard | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cooper Flagg | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| De'Aaron Fox | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Klay Thompson | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kawhi Leonard | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Darius Garland | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cade Cunningham | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Fred VanVleet | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jarrett Allen | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jamal Murray | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Evan Mobley | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Austin Reaves | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| DeMar DeRozan | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Devin Booker | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Draymond Green | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Alperen Sengun | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| James Harden | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price MVP Winner?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Shai Gilgeous-Alexander priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for MVP Winner?
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jaylen Brown: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nikola Jokic: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luka Doncic: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Victor Wembanyama: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Josh Hart: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cam Johnson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Deandre Ayton: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ja Morant: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ausar Thompson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Anthony Davis: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Paul George: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Derrick White: — median de-vigged across 0 books · John Collins: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Giannis Antetokounmpo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Donovan Mitchell: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kevin Durant: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Isaiah Hartenstein: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Julius Randle: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Desmond Bane: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Alex Caruso: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Domantas Sabonis: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tyler Herro: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jalen Green: — median de-vigged across 0 books · LeBron James: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jalen Williams: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Pascal Siakam: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Trae Young: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Coby White: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Joel Embiid: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Karl-Anthony Towns: — median de-vigged across 0 books · LaMelo Ball: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tie/Co-Winners: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Franz Wagner: — median de-vigged across 0 books · CJ McCollum: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Zach LaVine: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jimmy Butler: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jaden Ivey: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Scottie Barnes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jalen Johnson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Amen Thompson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Stephen Curry: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jalen Brunson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Anthony Edwards: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ivica Zubac: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Paolo Banchero: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Anfernee Simons: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Chet Holmgren: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bam Adebayo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tyrese Maxey: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Zion Williamson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · De'Andre Hunter: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ryan Rollins: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Andrew Nembhard: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cooper Flagg: — median de-vigged across 0 books · De'Aaron Fox: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Klay Thompson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kawhi Leonard: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Darius Garland: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cade Cunningham: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Fred VanVleet: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bennedict Mathurin: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jarrett Allen: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jamal Murray: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jaren Jackson Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Evan Mobley: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Austin Reaves: — median de-vigged across 0 books · DeMar DeRozan: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Devin Booker: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Draymond Green: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Alperen Sengun: — median de-vigged across 0 books · James Harden: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live MVP Winner odds?
- For current NBA matchups, see the live NBA hub at /sports/nba, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/nba/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.