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World Cup — live Kalshi & Polymarket vs sportsbook odds

Games
9
With books
9/9
Markets
27
Kalshi quotes
27
Book quotes
162
Books tracked
6

Recent moves (24h)

Game slate (9)

Filter:Edge vs Books median. Click any column header to sort. 18 rows.
Team / Game
Kalshi
Polymarket
Books med
Buy edge
vs best
#
Start
BetMGM
BetRivers
DraftKings
Fanatics🔒
FanDuel
Other🔒
20.5%22.0%+1.53%+0.19%
FanDuel +360
9Sun 11:00 PM23.5%21.6%22.7%22.0%20.7%22.3%
3.5%4.5%+1.04%+0.66%
BetRivers +2200
9Fri 11:00 PM5.2%4.2%5.0%5.2%4.5%4.4%
4.5%5.3%+0.82%+0.58%
DraftKings +1800
9Sat 11:00 PM6.8%5.3%5.1%6.3%5.3%5.5%
22.5%23.3%+0.80%-0.01%
FanDuel +320
9Mon 11:00 PM23.4%23.1%24.0%23.3%22.5%23.3%
39.5%39.7%+0.24%-0.26%
FanDuel +140
9Sun 11:00 PM39.7%39.6%39.8%40.1%39.2%39.6%
18.5%18.7%+0.22%-0.36%
Fanatics +425
9Sat 11:00 PM18.7%18.3%19.2%18.1%18.3%18.9%
10.5%10.6%+0.09%+0.00%
Fanatics +800
9Fri 11:00 PM12.9%10.6%11.3%10.5%10.6%10.6%
36.5%36.4%-0.09%-1.25%
FanDuel +170
9Mon 11:00 PM36.1%35.3%37.6%35.4%35.2%36.7%
26.5%26.4%-0.15%-0.31%
FanDuel +260
9Fri 11:00 PM26.7%26.5%26.7%27.1%26.2%26.3%
35.5%35.3%-0.17%-1.27%
DraftKings +180
9Mon 11:00 PM35.4%35.3%34.2%36.1%35.9%35.3%
40.5%40.1%-0.37%-0.67%
BetMGM +135
9Fri 11:00 PM39.8%40.1%40.1%40.3%40.1%40.3%
31.5%30.3%-1.17%-1.64%
DraftKings +220
9Sun 11:00 PM30.1%30.2%29.9%30.4%30.4%30.4%
68.5%67.2%-1.33%-2.74%
BetMGM -235
9Fri 11:00 PM65.8%67.1%66.9%67.5%67.3%67.4%
51.5%50.1%-1.37%-2.25%
DraftKings -105
9Mon 11:00 PM50.0%50.1%49.3%50.5%50.5%50.2%
53.5%52.1%-1.39%-2.32%
BetMGM -120
9Sun 11:00 PM51.2%52.1%52.1%51.7%52.9%52.1%
55.5%53.8%-1.72%-2.15%
DraftKings -125
9Sat 11:00 PM53.8%54.5%53.4%53.8%53.7%54.0%
85.5%83.5%-1.98%-2.51%
DraftKings -650
9Fri 11:00 PM83.6%84.6%83.0%83.0%83.5%84.0%
83.5%81.0%-2.50%-4.35%
BetMGM -500
9Sat 11:00 PM79.1%81.0%81.1%80.2%81.2%80.9%
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World Cup odds — frequently asked questions

What World Cup markets does Kalshi offer?
Kalshi currently lists 9 World Cup game lines across 27 markets, plus championship, conference, division, MVP, and award futures depending on the season. SportsBookISH tracks every Kalshi market alongside 6 US sportsbooks so you can see where Kalshi is priced cheaper or more expensive than the books.
Where is the biggest Kalshi edge in World Cup right now?
Reg Time: France currently shows the largest pricing gap on Kalshi, -2.5 percentage points different from the sportsbook consensus. Edges shift constantly — refresh this page for the latest snapshot.
How often do World Cup odds update?
Kalshi prices are pulled every 5 minutes via the public Kalshi REST API. Sportsbook lines refresh every 15-30 minutes. References older than 30 minutes are filtered out so you never see stale comparisons on this page.
What's the difference between Kalshi and traditional sportsbooks for World Cup?
Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated event-contract exchange — you buy YES or NO contracts that settle at $1 or $0. Sportsbooks set prices and bake in a vig (typically 4-8% on game lines). Kalshi's fee is max(1¢, ceil(0.07 × p × (1-p) × 100)) capped at 7¢ per contract. When Kalshi prices a side cheaper than the no-vig book consensus, that's a +EV opportunity.
Is betting on World Cup on Kalshi legal in my state?
Kalshi operates as a federally-regulated exchange under the CFTC, which means it's legally accessible from all 50 U.S. states (unlike most sportsbooks, which are state-by-state). A handful of states have raised challenges to specific market types — always check Kalshi's current state availability page before trading.