Did Kalshi correctly price Belgium vs Egypt?

At settlement, Kalshi had Tie priced at 97.5% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.

What was the final book consensus for Belgium vs Egypt?

Tie: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Egypt: 3.8% median de-vigged across 11 books · Belgium: 8.5% median de-vigged across 11 books

For current WC matchups, see the live WC hub at /sports/wc, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/wc/2026.

wcgameSettledJune 16, 2026

Kalshi closed with Tie at 97.5% versus Egypt at 1.5%. Final book consensus: Tie — / Egypt 3.8% / Belgium 8.5%.

Side	Kalshi closing	Books median	Books count	Edge (books − Kalshi)
Tie	97.5%	—	0	—
Egypt	1.5%	3.8%	11	+2.3%
Belgium	1.5%	8.5%	11	+7.0%

Did Kalshi correctly price Belgium vs Egypt?: At settlement, Kalshi had Tie priced at 97.5% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
What was the final book consensus for Belgium vs Egypt?: Tie: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Egypt: 3.8% median de-vigged across 11 books · Belgium: 8.5% median de-vigged across 11 books
Where can I find live Belgium odds?: For current WC matchups, see the live WC hub at /sports/wc, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/wc/2026.

This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.