Did Kalshi correctly price Belgium vs IR Iran?

At settlement, Kalshi had Tie priced at 86.5% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.

What was the final book consensus for Belgium vs IR Iran?

Tie: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Belgium: 7.2% median de-vigged across 11 books · IR Iran: 5.2% median de-vigged across 11 books

For current WC matchups, see the live WC hub at /sports/wc, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/wc/2026.

wcgameSettledJune 22, 2026

Kalshi closed with Tie at 86.5% versus Belgium at 7.5%. Final book consensus: Tie — / Belgium 7.2% / IR Iran 5.2%.

Side	Kalshi closing	Books median	Books count	Edge (books − Kalshi)
Tie	86.5%	—	0	—
Belgium	7.5%	7.2%	11	-0.3%
IR Iran	6.5%	5.2%	11	-1.3%

Did Kalshi correctly price Belgium vs IR Iran?: At settlement, Kalshi had Tie priced at 86.5% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
What was the final book consensus for Belgium vs IR Iran?: Tie: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Belgium: 7.2% median de-vigged across 11 books · IR Iran: 5.2% median de-vigged across 11 books
Where can I find live Belgium odds?: For current WC matchups, see the live WC hub at /sports/wc, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/wc/2026.

This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.