Did Kalshi correctly price Colombia vs Portugal?

At settlement, Kalshi had Tie priced at 90.5% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.

What was the final book consensus for Colombia vs Portugal?

Tie: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Portugal: 8.8% median de-vigged across 11 books · Colombia: 7.7% median de-vigged across 11 books

For current WC matchups, see the live WC hub at /sports/wc, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/wc/2026.

wcgameSettledJune 28, 2026

Kalshi closed with Tie at 90.5% versus Portugal at 5.5%. Final book consensus: Tie — / Portugal 8.8% / Colombia 7.7%.

Side	Kalshi closing	Books median	Books count	Edge (books − Kalshi)
Tie	90.5%	—	0	—
Portugal	5.5%	8.8%	11	+3.3%
Colombia	4.5%	7.7%	11	+3.2%

Did Kalshi correctly price Colombia vs Portugal?: At settlement, Kalshi had Tie priced at 90.5% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
What was the final book consensus for Colombia vs Portugal?: Tie: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Portugal: 8.8% median de-vigged across 11 books · Colombia: 7.7% median de-vigged across 11 books
Where can I find live Colombia odds?: For current WC matchups, see the live WC hub at /sports/wc, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/wc/2026.

This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.