Did Kalshi correctly price Ecuador vs Curacao?

At settlement, Kalshi had Tie priced at 82.5% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.

What was the final book consensus for Ecuador vs Curacao?

Tie: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ecuador: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Curacao: — median de-vigged across 0 books

For current WC matchups, see the live WC hub at /sports/wc, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/wc/2026.

wcgameSettledJune 21, 2026

Kalshi closed with Tie at 82.5% versus Ecuador at 15.5%. Final book consensus: Tie — / Ecuador — / Curacao —.

Side	Kalshi closing	Books median	Edge (books − Kalshi)
Tie	82.5%	—	—
Ecuador	15.5%	—	—
Curacao	1.5%	—	—

Did Kalshi correctly price Ecuador vs Curacao?: At settlement, Kalshi had Tie priced at 82.5% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
What was the final book consensus for Ecuador vs Curacao?: Tie: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ecuador: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Curacao: — median de-vigged across 0 books
Where can I find live Ecuador odds?: For current WC matchups, see the live WC hub at /sports/wc, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/wc/2026.

This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.