wcgameSettled
Ecuador vs Germany — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Ecuador at 97.5% versus Tie at 2.5%. Final book consensus: Ecuador 92.5% / Tie — / Germany 0.8%.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ecuador | 97.5% | 92.5% | 11 | -4.9% |
| Tie | 2.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Germany | 1.0% | 0.8% | 11 | -0.2% |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Ecuador vs Germany?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Ecuador priced at 97.5% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of 92.5% from 11 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Ecuador vs Germany?
- Ecuador: 92.5% median de-vigged across 11 books · Tie: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Germany: 0.8% median de-vigged across 11 books
- Where can I find live Ecuador odds?
- For current WC matchups, see the live WC hub at /sports/wc, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/wc/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.