Did Kalshi correctly price IR Iran vs New Zealand?

At settlement, Kalshi had Tie priced at 96.5% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.

What was the final book consensus for IR Iran vs New Zealand?

Tie: — median de-vigged across 0 books · IR Iran: 12.1% median de-vigged across 11 books · New Zealand: 8.6% median de-vigged across 11 books

For current WC matchups, see the live WC hub at /sports/wc, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/wc/2026.

wcgameSettledJune 16, 2026

Kalshi closed with Tie at 96.5% versus IR Iran at 2.5%. Final book consensus: Tie — / IR Iran 12.1% / New Zealand 8.6%.

Side	Kalshi closing	Books median	Books count	Edge (books − Kalshi)
Tie	96.5%	—	0	—
IR Iran	2.5%	12.1%	11	+9.6%
New Zealand	1.5%	8.6%	11	+7.1%

Did Kalshi correctly price IR Iran vs New Zealand?: At settlement, Kalshi had Tie priced at 96.5% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
What was the final book consensus for IR Iran vs New Zealand?: Tie: — median de-vigged across 0 books · IR Iran: 12.1% median de-vigged across 11 books · New Zealand: 8.6% median de-vigged across 11 books
Where can I find live IR Iran odds?: For current WC matchups, see the live WC hub at /sports/wc, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/wc/2026.

This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.