Did Kalshi correctly price Japan vs Sweden?

At settlement, Kalshi had Tie priced at 96.5% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.

What was the final book consensus for Japan vs Sweden?

Tie: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Japan: 9.7% median de-vigged across 11 books · Sweden: 13.1% median de-vigged across 11 books

For current WC matchups, see the live WC hub at /sports/wc, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/wc/2026.

wcgameSettledJune 26, 2026

Kalshi closed with Tie at 96.5% versus Japan at 1.5%. Final book consensus: Tie — / Japan 9.7% / Sweden 13.1%.

Side	Kalshi closing	Books median	Books count	Edge (books − Kalshi)
Tie	96.5%	—	0	—
Japan	1.5%	9.7%	11	+8.2%
Sweden	1.5%	13.1%	11	+11.6%

Did Kalshi correctly price Japan vs Sweden?: At settlement, Kalshi had Tie priced at 96.5% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
What was the final book consensus for Japan vs Sweden?: Tie: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Japan: 9.7% median de-vigged across 11 books · Sweden: 13.1% median de-vigged across 11 books
Where can I find live Japan odds?: For current WC matchups, see the live WC hub at /sports/wc, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/wc/2026.

This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.