wcgameSettled
Mexico vs South Africa — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Mexico at 99.0% versus South Africa at 1.0%. Final book consensus: Mexico 91.5% / South Africa 1.3% / Tie —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico | 99.0% | 91.5% | 11 | -7.5% |
| South Africa | 1.0% | 1.3% | 11 | +0.3% |
| Tie | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Mexico vs South Africa?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Mexico priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of 91.5% from 11 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Mexico vs South Africa?
- Mexico: 91.5% median de-vigged across 11 books · South Africa: 1.3% median de-vigged across 11 books · Tie: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Mexico odds?
- For current WC matchups, see the live WC hub at /sports/wc, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/wc/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.