Did Kalshi correctly price Netherlands vs Japan?

At settlement, Kalshi had Tie priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.

What was the final book consensus for Netherlands vs Japan?

Tie: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Netherlands: 6.9% median de-vigged across 11 books · Japan: 4.3% median de-vigged across 11 books

For current WC matchups, see the live WC hub at /sports/wc, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/wc/2026.

wcgameSettledJune 15, 2026

Kalshi closed with Tie at 99.0% versus Netherlands at 1.0%. Final book consensus: Tie — / Netherlands 6.9% / Japan 4.3%.

Side	Kalshi closing	Books median	Books count	Edge (books − Kalshi)
Tie	99.0%	—	0	—
Netherlands	1.0%	6.9%	11	+5.9%
Japan	1.0%	4.3%	11	+3.3%

Did Kalshi correctly price Netherlands vs Japan?: At settlement, Kalshi had Tie priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
What was the final book consensus for Netherlands vs Japan?: Tie: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Netherlands: 6.9% median de-vigged across 11 books · Japan: 4.3% median de-vigged across 11 books
Where can I find live Netherlands odds?: For current WC matchups, see the live WC hub at /sports/wc, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/wc/2026.

This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.