Did Kalshi correctly price Qatar vs Switzerland?

At settlement, Kalshi had Tie priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.

What was the final book consensus for Qatar vs Switzerland?

Tie: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Qatar: 1.0% median de-vigged across 11 books · Switzerland: 92.4% median de-vigged across 11 books

For current WC matchups, see the live WC hub at /sports/wc, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/wc/2026.

wcgameSettledJune 14, 2026

Kalshi closed with Tie at 99.0% versus Qatar at 1.0%. Final book consensus: Tie — / Qatar 1.0% / Switzerland 92.4%.

Side	Kalshi closing	Books median	Books count	Edge (books − Kalshi)
Tie	99.0%	—	0	—
Qatar	1.0%	1.0%	11	+0.0%
Switzerland	1.0%	92.4%	11	+91.4%

Did Kalshi correctly price Qatar vs Switzerland?: At settlement, Kalshi had Tie priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
What was the final book consensus for Qatar vs Switzerland?: Tie: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Qatar: 1.0% median de-vigged across 11 books · Switzerland: 92.4% median de-vigged across 11 books
Where can I find live Qatar odds?: For current WC matchups, see the live WC hub at /sports/wc, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/wc/2026.

This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.