Did Kalshi correctly price Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay?

At settlement, Kalshi had Tie priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.

What was the final book consensus for Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay?

Tie: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Uruguay: 17.8% median de-vigged across 11 books · Saudi Arabia: 4.6% median de-vigged across 11 books

For current WC matchups, see the live WC hub at /sports/wc, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/wc/2026.

wcgameSettledJune 16, 2026

Kalshi closed with Tie at 99.0% versus Uruguay at 1.0%. Final book consensus: Tie — / Uruguay 17.8% / Saudi Arabia 4.6%.

Side	Kalshi closing	Books median	Books count	Edge (books − Kalshi)
Tie	99.0%	—	0	—
Uruguay	1.0%	17.8%	11	+16.8%
Saudi Arabia	1.0%	4.6%	11	+3.6%

Did Kalshi correctly price Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay?: At settlement, Kalshi had Tie priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
What was the final book consensus for Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay?: Tie: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Uruguay: 17.8% median de-vigged across 11 books · Saudi Arabia: 4.6% median de-vigged across 11 books
Where can I find live Saudi Arabia odds?: For current WC matchups, see the live WC hub at /sports/wc, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/wc/2026.

This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.