Did Kalshi correctly price Uruguay vs Cape Verde?

At settlement, Kalshi had Tie priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.

What was the final book consensus for Uruguay vs Cape Verde?

Tie: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cape Verde: 8.3% median de-vigged across 11 books · Uruguay: 18.6% median de-vigged across 11 books

For current WC matchups, see the live WC hub at /sports/wc, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/wc/2026.

wcgameSettledJune 22, 2026

Kalshi closed with Tie at 99.0% versus Cape Verde at 1.0%. Final book consensus: Tie — / Cape Verde 8.3% / Uruguay 18.6%.

Side	Kalshi closing	Books median	Books count	Edge (books − Kalshi)
Tie	99.0%	—	0	—
Cape Verde	1.0%	8.3%	11	+7.3%
Uruguay	1.0%	18.6%	11	+17.6%

Did Kalshi correctly price Uruguay vs Cape Verde?: At settlement, Kalshi had Tie priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
What was the final book consensus for Uruguay vs Cape Verde?: Tie: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cape Verde: 8.3% median de-vigged across 11 books · Uruguay: 18.6% median de-vigged across 11 books
Where can I find live Uruguay odds?: For current WC matchups, see the live WC hub at /sports/wc, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/wc/2026.

This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.