wcgameSettled
USA vs Paraguay — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with USA at 99.0% versus Tie at 1.0%. Final book consensus: USA 71.3% / Tie — / Paraguay 8.5%.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USA | 99.0% | 71.3% | 11 | -27.7% |
| Tie | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Paraguay | 1.0% | 8.5% | 11 | +7.5% |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price USA vs Paraguay?
- At settlement, Kalshi had USA priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of 71.3% from 11 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for USA vs Paraguay?
- USA: 71.3% median de-vigged across 11 books · Tie: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Paraguay: 8.5% median de-vigged across 11 books
- Where can I find live USA odds?
- For current WC matchups, see the live WC hub at /sports/wc, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/wc/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.