wcgameSettled
Portugal vs Croatia: Regulation Time Moneyline — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Reg Time: Portugal at 98.5% versus Reg Time: Tie at 1.5%. Final book consensus: Reg Time: Portugal 82.0% / Reg Time: Tie — / Reg Time: Croatia 6.9%.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reg Time: Portugal | 98.5% | 82.0% | 9 | -16.5% |
| Reg Time: Tie | 1.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Reg Time: Croatia | 1.0% | 6.9% | 9 | +5.9% |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Portugal vs Croatia: Regulation Time Moneyline?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Reg Time: Portugal priced at 98.5% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of 82.0% from 9 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Portugal vs Croatia: Regulation Time Moneyline?
- Reg Time: Portugal: 82.0% median de-vigged across 9 books · Reg Time: Tie: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Reg Time: Croatia: 6.9% median de-vigged across 9 books
- Where can I find live Portugal odds?
- For current WC matchups, see the live WC hub at /sports/wc, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/wc/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.